Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.389201 0.441006 0.498974 0.568994 0.651736 0.746963 0.865668
2024-10-06 0.315285 0.384642 0.469913 0.583958 0.734793 0.930793 1.210404
2024-10-13 0.267597 0.343644 0.443571 0.587559 0.795003 1.091745 1.565286
2024-10-20 0.230969 0.308153 0.414791 0.577578 0.828646 1.217351 1.900209
2024-10-27 0.204888 0.282055 0.393198 0.571353 0.862838 1.347066 2.276658
2024-11-03 0.192320 0.272896 0.393758 0.597140 0.950499 1.582353 2.917568
2024-11-10 0.178493 0.259745 0.385846 0.607041 1.012018 1.785487 3.572088
2024-11-17 0.163331 0.242588 0.369066 0.598688 1.038085 1.926361 4.147362
2024-11-24 0.149356 0.225746 0.350607 0.584196 1.049017 2.038167 4.700433
2024-12-01 0.139894 0.215237 0.341443 0.584989 1.089941 2.225153 5.538854
2024-12-08 0.133899 0.209850 0.340371 0.600642 1.164589 2.511095 6.819862
2024-12-15 0.126687 0.201659 0.333322 0.603362 1.211364 2.742853 8.075209
2024-12-22 0.117801 0.189975 0.319064 0.590240 1.221347 2.887527 9.149457
2024-12-29 0.113444 0.185982 0.318765 0.606386 1.305163 3.268486 11.461281
2025-01-05 0.108035 0.179590 0.313175 0.610248 1.359501 3.584461 13.810823
2025-01-12 0.101586 0.170743 0.301893 0.599799 1.374435 3.783014 15.810986
2025-01-19 0.096151 0.163376 0.292861 0.593276 1.398876 4.024843 18.343664
2025-01-26 0.094435 0.162934 0.297807 0.620314 1.524570 4.685086 24.416385
2025-02-02 0.091268 0.159415 0.295990 0.630698 1.604364 5.214309 30.623824
2025-02-09 0.086704 0.152805 0.287010 0.621937 1.623418 5.507081 35.567187
2025-02-16 0.081976 0.145555 0.276051 0.606740 1.618958 5.699457 40.075673
2025-02-23 0.078865 0.141366 0.271435 0.607572 1.668099 6.167106 48.712967
2025-03-02 0.077120 0.139839 0.272581 0.623987 1.775241 6.985995 64.470906